Bullish/Neutral for US Stablecoin Yields: The GENIUS Act’s ban on reserve rehypothecation structurally protects, rather than threatens, the core profitability of stablecoin issuers. By mandating reserves be held in yield-bearing safe-haven assets and explicitly prohibiting interest payouts to users, issuers legally capture 100% of the risk-free yield, securing their net interest margins. Bullish for EU Institutional Activity: The ECB’s formal endorsement of MiCA-compliant e

Bearish (US CeFi Compliance Costs): The 2026 tax season marks the first mandatory filing of IRS Form 1099-DA for custodial brokers. While this imposes heavy compliance Capex on centralised exchanges, the April 2025 repeal of DeFi reporting rules has created a permanent regulatory moat, incentivising retail capital to migrate toward non-custodial protocols. Bullish (APAC Revenue Expansion): Hong Kong has officially pivoted from a spot-only regime to a high-yield institution